Compendium · Compositions · Signal Trends

Signal Trends

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Full-featured composed scenes — one per row so each design has room to breathe. Click for the live render, the spec, and the source.

Featured 14 Atoms 762 Compositions 240

№ 1381

AAR Trend Dashboard

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AAR · 12 weeks 5 specs

Alignment is falling.

// signal: agents and specs are drifting apart on two of five

portfolio mean 82%

weekly delta 0

below floor 2 / 5

floor 85%

AAR % over time y: 50→100

W01W02W03W04W05W06W07W08W09W10W11W12

SPEC-204 auth & session SPEC-118 billing reconciler SPEC-302 event ingest SPEC-415 access policy SPEC-227 search rebuild

FALLING SIGNAL · WHAT IT MEANS 3 specs

SPEC-227 -19 Agent guessing more, asking less — spec ambiguity compounding.
SPEC-204 -18 New auth flow specs lagging implementation — drift forming.
SPEC-415 -7 Policy edits not landing back in spec — convention erosion.

№ 1382

GTR Trend Dashboard

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GTR · 16 weeks

Triggers are rising.
The question is why.

this week · GTR 29

real / total 76%

target floor 70%

REAL VS NOISE — STACKED per 100 diffs

W01W02W03W04W05W06W07W08W09W10W11W12W13W14W15W16

realcaught a defect noisefalse positive

HOW TO READ A RISING LINE

WHEN GTR rises AND real/total ≥ 70%
GOVERNANCE IS CATCHING REAL PROBLEMS
WHEN GTR rises AND real/total < 70%
NOISE IS RISING — TUNE THE RULES
WHEN GTR falls AND ratio steady
AGENTS ARE LEARNING THE CONVENTIONS
WHEN GTR falls AND ratio drops
GOVERNOR IS BURNED OUT — REVIEW COVERAGE

№ 1383

SDL Diagnostic Explorer

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SDL · DIAGNOSTIC 10 weeks

Faster delivery.
But at what cost?

SDL · hours, spec → prod 18h (-4 wk)

W01W02W03W04W05W06W07W08W09W10

SDS security · 0-100

72 -16 over period

AAR alignment · %

76 -16 over period

CSG violations · count

15 +13 over period

DIAGNOSTIC READING brittle weeks: 2

// reading

SDL is dropping 75% faster than the team's CSG-violation rate is being absorbed. AAR has fallen 16 points. SDS has fallen 16 points. The pipeline is faster because validation is being skipped, not because the system got better.

// action

Pin SDL at current value. Stop celebrating the speed-up. Raise AAR back to ≥85 and CSG violations back to ≤4 before allowing SDL to drop further. Speed without guardrails is not speed.

№ 1384

DDL Undefined State Explainer

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DDL · UNDEFINED STATE

"No drift in 90 days" is not DDL = 0.
It is DDL = undefined.

A signal can only be measured when an event exists. Rendering an undefined signal as a numeric zero is a lie about how good things are.

WRONG false zero

last 90 days · DDL

0.0 hours

PERFECT — INFINITELY FAST

This reading says drift is being caught the moment it happens. It isn't. There has been no drift to catch.

RIGHT honest state

last 90 days · DDL

— undefined

NO DRIFT TO MEASURE

Last drift 2026-02-18, detected in 4.2h. 92 days clean. The signal is dormant because the system is healthy.

92 DRIFT-FREE DAYS 2026-02-18 → 2026-05-21

last drift · 4.2h

now 92 days · no events · DDL undefined

// rule

A latency signal needs an event. With no event, latency has no measurable value. Render —, not 0.

// when to alarm

Alarm when DDL becomes defined again — drift has reappeared. The transition matters, not the dormant value.

// what to report

"92 days drift-free, last DDL 4.2h" is true and useful. "DDL = 0" is false and harmful.

№ 1385

ICS Quarter Trend

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ICS · 13 WEEKS portfolio rolling mean

A quarter of investment in spec quality.

start mean54

end mean78

delta+24

weeks above gate10 / 13

ICS · MEAN + Q1-Q3 BAND y: 30→100

W01W02W03W04W05W06W07W08W09W10W11W12W13

№ 1386

CCS Convention Quality

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CCS · 8 WEEKS 8 conventions

Conventions decay if you don't tend them.

aggregate

85%

code convention trend score delta verdict

CONV-014 logical CSS only 68% -24 DECAYING
CONV-045 tokens not hex 52% -20 DECAYING
CONV-001 kebab-case files 94% -4 WATCH
CONV-031 no barrel files 91% -4 WATCH
CONV-058 conventional commits 99% +1 HEALTHY
CONV-022 no any in TS 94% +6 HEALTHY
CONV-067 spec frontmatter 92% +10 HEALTHY
CONV-082 test colocated 89% +13 HEALTHY

№ 1387

SDS STRIDE Scorecard

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SDS · STRIDE 6 categories

Security documentation by threat class.

aggregate SDS

S Spoofing

score 88 ▲ +2

T Tampering

score 76 ▼ -3

R Repudiation

score 54 ▼ -1

I Info disclosure

score 82 ▲ +4

D Denial of service

score 68 ▲ +1

E Elevation of privilege

score 91 — 0

№ 1388

CSG Violations Rising

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◆ ALERT · CSG VIOLATIONS RISING 8-week trend

14× the baseline.

violations are not a code problem — they are an un-promoted pattern.

baseline3/wk

current42/wk

multiplier14×

peak42/wk

TOP VIOLATING PATTERN 38 of 42

// pattern

await fetchWithRetry(url, { retries: 3 })

// repeated in

· src/services/billing.ts:124
· src/services/auth.ts:67
· src/services/events.ts:208
· …35 more sites

RECOMMENDED ACTION go pillar

1.Promote — open CONV-NNN: retry semantics for network calls.
2.Write rule — add no-bare-fetch to the linter with autofix.
3.Re-baseline — autofix all 38 sites, close the alert.
✓est. effort · 1 day · @author + @gatekeeper

№ 1389

SHS Corpus Heatmap

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SHS · CORPUS 60 specs

Structural health of the spec corpus.

Healthy · 90-100 11 18%

OK · 70-89 31 52%

Watch · 50-69 12 20%

Critical · <50 6 10%

HEATMAP · 10 × 6 column-major by id

100 51

101 82

102 61

103 91

104 88

105 77

106 89

107 84

108 86

109 43

110 64

111 81

112 30

113 60

114 81

115 44

116 91

117 78

118 87

119 79

120 65

121 75

122 83

123 80

124 83

125 91

126 83

127 93

128 83

129 40

130 68

131 88

132 81

133 85

134 71

135 43

136 44

137 87

138 76

139 63

140 53

141 82

142 90

143 77

144 61

145 95

146 98

147 82

148 81

149 89

150 85

151 60

152 61

153 83

154 59

155 97

156 86

157 91

158 94

159 98

legend: 90-100 70-89 50-69 <50

worst SPEC-112 30

№ 1390

SCR Dependency Radar

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SCR · 4-AXIS period vs prior

Supply chain has two soft axes.

composite SCR

-2 · WATCH

RADAR · 4-AXIS

AXIS BREAKDOWN cur · prev · Δ

freshness 72 84 -12
audit 88 80 +8
license 94 92 +2
provenance 66 70 -4

WORST DEPENDENCIES · ACT ON THESE 4 flagged

@org/legacy-codec@1.2.0 FRSH 28 upgrade to 3.x or replace
crypto-shim@0.9.x PROV 32 no signed provenance — drop
image-utils@4.0.1 FRSH 41 14 months stale · audit
sso-bridge@2.1.0 PROV 44 sigstore key rotated — re-verify

№ 1391

Combined Signal Hero

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SIGNALS · NOW read together, never alone

Four signals.
One reading.

system state

WATCH

AAR drifting

AAR Agent Alignment Rate

value · weekly delta

83 % −4

agents are guessing more — spec ambiguity rising.

GTR Governance Trigger Rate

value · weekly delta

14 /100 +3

rising with high real/total — governor is catching defects.

SDL Spec→Delivery Latency

value · weekly delta

36 h −12

within 24-72h band — speed is healthy alongside other signals.

DDL Drift Detection Latency

value · weekly delta

— 0d

no events

92 days drift-free — signal dormant, system healthy.

№ 1392

Signal Interpretation Cheatsheet

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CHEATSHEET print me · pin above the desk

What does this trend mean?

kinds: leadingpredicts laggingmeasures diagnosticnever a target

signal ▲ rising ▼ falling — flat

AAR Agent Alignment Rate leading
specs landed, agents agree drift forming — review specs steady — no change to act on
GTR Governance Trigger Rate leading
ambiguous — read with real/total ratio either learning or burnout governance in steady-state
SDL Spec→Delivery Latency diagnostic
pipeline slowing — find the bottleneck only good with healthy AAR/SDS predictable cadence
DDL Drift Detection Latency diagnostic
detection getting slower detection getting faster undefined when no drift = healthy
ICS Intent Completion Score lagging
team investing in spec quality specs being rushed no investment, no decay
CCS Convention Coverage Score lagging
conventions taking hold conventions decaying — fix lint steady — neither growing nor shrinking
SDS Security Documentation Score lagging
threat model improving threats outpacing documentation audit the worst STRIDE cell
CSG Convention Self-Governance leading
pattern needs promotion to convention lint enforcing — agents adapting baseline holding
SHS Spec Health Score lagging
corpus structurally improving new specs rough — set a template depends on coverage
SCR Supply Chain Resilience lagging
deps audited and current staleness or provenance gap check axis breakdown anyway

№ 1393

Rising / Falling Flag Bank

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FLAGS · NOW 10 signals · one glance

Morning coffee. One look.

good4

bad4

neutral2

AAR ▼

drift forming in 2 specs

GTR ▲

real/total 78% — catching defects

SDL ▼

within band but watch AAR

DDL —

undefined · 92 days clean

ICS ▲

+24 points this quarter

CCS ▼

CONV-045 decaying fast

SDS —

audit the R cell

CSG ▲

42 violations — promote pattern

SHS ▲

corpus mean +6 points

SCR ▼

PROV axis lost 4 points

№ 1394

Threshold Violation Timeline

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THRESHOLD · TIMELINE Q1+Q2 2026

Six crossings. Six actions.

total6

resolved3

open2

accepted1

datesignalthresholdtriggeractionmttaoutcome

02-04 AAR < 85% SPEC-204 dropped to 82 spec rewritten · examples added 6h RESOLVED
02-22 CSG > 10/wk retry pattern emerged promoted to CONV-091 · lint shipped 2d RESOLVED
03-11 SDS < 70 R cell fell to 54 threat model session · still scheduled — OPEN
03-29 SDL > 96h pipeline congested parallel review lanes opened 1d RESOLVED
04-15 SCR < 75 PROV axis fell to 66 accepted · sigstore migration Q3 4h ACCEPTED
05-02 AAR < 85% SPEC-227 dropped to 75 review scheduled · in progress — OPEN

№ 1395

Cross-Correlation Panel

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CROSS-CORRELATION AAR · CONV-UPDATES

Stop updating conventions.
AAR drops in two weeks.

pearson r

-0.81

strong negative

DUAL SERIES · 12 WEEKS left: AAR · right: conv/wk

W01W02W03W04W05W06W07W08W09W10W11W12

AAR% · left axis conv updatescount · right axis

// observation

Convention updates fell to 0 in W06. AAR began falling in W07 and bottomed in W10. Updates resumed in W09, AAR recovered by W12. The lag is consistently 1-2 weeks across the corpus.

// rule

Convention cadence is a leading indicator for AAR. Watch the bar chart, not the line — the line is already too late.

№ 1396

Signal Hierarchy Diagram

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TAXONOMY three jobs · ten signals

Signals do three jobs.
Don't confuse them.

LEADING predicts

AAR agent alignment
GTR governance triggers
CSG convention self-gov

// does

predicts what will happen next. moves first.

// never

never a backward-looking grade.

DIAGNOSTIC explains

NEVER A TARGET

SDL spec→delivery latency
DDL drift detection latency

// does

explains a result. read together with leading + lagging.

// never

never a target. optimising it cuts validation.

LAGGING measures

ICS intent completion
CCS convention coverage
SDS security documentation
SHS spec health
SCR supply chain resilience

// does

measures what already happened. settles slowly.

// never

never the early-warning signal.

— Full detail →

—

// source

Alpha · Honest about it

The framework is real.
The community is forming now.

DoCoDeGo is in Alpha. The framework is documented, the practices are battle-tested at small scale, and the next release is being shaped in public.

If it produces anything, it should produce engineers and teams who think more clearly about what they are building and why.

Two doors in

Join the Discord

Discord is where specs are debated, the framework gets sharper, and decisions land in writing. The conversation is the artefact.

Signal Trends

The framework is real.The community is forming now.

The framework is real.
The community is forming now.